# Predictive Credit: Measuring What Scientific Explanations Add to Experimental Forecasts

**Published:** October 2, 2026
**Author:** Jingjie Ning, Xueqi Li, Yibo Kong, Dongting Li
**Source:** arXiv — cs.AI
**Language:** en-US
**HTML:** https://aiqazaqstan.com/en/articles/predictive-credit-measuring-what-scientific-explanations-add-to-experime

Research agents explain planned experiments. We measure predictive credit with paired forecasts sharing an intervention, forecaster, and outcome while varying description, matched explanation, and donor context. Five checks track commitment, delivery, predictive gain, alignment,…

> From the original source: **arXiv — cs.AI**
> [Read full article at arXiv — cs.AI](https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.00314)

**Tags:** #arXiv

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