# Microsoft publishes Nobel economist's bearish AI forecast of just 1.5% GDP growth over a decade

> 全文为英语

**Published:** 2026年10月6日
**Author:** Matthias Bastian
**Source:** The Decoder
**Language:** en-US
**HTML:** https://aiqazaqstan.com/zh/articles/microsoft-publishes-nobel-economist-s-bearish-ai-forecast-of-just-1-5-gd

Microsoft published a bearish AI outlook from Nobel economist Daron Acemoglu. He predicts about 1.5 percent GDP growth over ten years and at most five percent of jobs replaced. Bigger models won't move the needle, he argues. What's missing are practical apps that change how work…

> 内容来自原始来源： **The Decoder**
> [在 The Decoder 阅读全文](https://the-decoder.com/microsoft-publishes-nobel-economists-bearish-ai-forecast-of-just-1-5-gdp-growth-over-a-decade/)

**标签：** #Microsoft

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