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arXiv — cs.AI

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Predictive gains, causal losses: why interventional competence cannot be learned from data alone

arXiv:2611.03861v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retaining predictive gains can require persistent errors in a model's response to interventions. For deterministic predictors with finite second moments under squared-error loss, any observational advantage over the best predictor…

arXiv — cs.AIBy: Marcus ThomasNovember 4, 2026 (1 hour ago)
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  • arXiv:2611.03861v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retaining predictive gains can require persistent errors in a model's response to interventions
  • For deterministic predictors with finite second moments under squared-error loss, any observational advantage over the best predictor…
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Predictive gains, causal losses: why interventional competence cannot be learned from data alone

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