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arXiv — cs.AI

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标题为英语Predictive Credit: Measuring What Scientific Explanations Add to Experimental Forecasts

Research agents explain planned experiments. We measure predictive credit with paired forecasts sharing an intervention, forecaster, and outcome while varying description, matched explanation, and donor context. Five checks track commitment, delivery, predictive gain, alignment,…

arXiv — cs.AI作者: Jingjie Ning, Xueqi Li, Yibo Kong, Dongting Li2026年10月2日 (10月2日)
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  • Research agents explain planned experiments
  • We measure predictive credit with paired forecasts sharing an intervention, forecaster, and outcome while varying description, matched explanation, and donor context
  • Five checks track commitment, delivery, predictive gain, alignment,…
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Predictive Credit: Measuring What Scientific Explanations Add to Experimental Forecasts

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