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标题为英语When Should Forecasting Agents Reason? Behavioral Stress Tests for Reliability Routing

arXiv:2609.28475v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting agents increasingly combine language-model reasoning, retrieval, ensembling, and calibration, but it remains unclear when each behavior should be trusted. We study this question on ForecastBench-style binary forecasting…

arXiv — cs.AI作者: Yufeng Wang2026年9月25日 (9月25日)
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  • arXiv:2609.28475v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting agents increasingly combine language-model reasoning, retrieval, ensembling, and calibration, but it remains unclear when each behavior should be trusted
  • We study this question on ForecastBench-style binary forecasting…
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When Should Forecasting Agents Reason? Behavioral Stress Tests for Reliability Routing

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